Air Travel Consumer Report - Office of Aviation Enforcement and Proceedings. U.S. Department of Transportation. September 2008.
A passenger is involuntarily 'bumped' when they have a confirmed reservation and are denied boarding from the flight because it is oversold. The number and rate of involuntary denied boarding's include both passengers who received denied boarding compensation and passengers who did not qualify for compensation because of one of the exceptions in the oversales rule. There are four exceptions: 1) passenger accommodated on another flight scheduled to arrive within one hour of the original flight; 2) passenger fails to comply with ticketing, check-in or reconfirmation procedures; 3) aircraft of smaller capacity is substituted; and (4) passenger is denied boarding due to safety-related weight restrictions on an aircraft with 60 or fewer seats.
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Odds Statement provided by Book of Odds Inc., http://www.bookofodds.com/content/view/full/602864 (Accessed: )
Odds more likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 3.42, are rounded to three significant digits. Odds less likely than 1 in 10, such as 1 in 420.4, are rounded to four significant digits. Trailing zeros after the decimal point are dropped for readability, even though they may still be significant.
Odds you'll see: 1 in 4.26; 14.5; 143; 5,230; 433,200
Odds you won't see: 1 in 2.412; 63.042; 425,242c